Autor: Hot Air

posted at 8:41 am on November 6, 2012 by Ed Morrissey The ballot in my state has two somewhat controversial referendums, both of which probably have more drama than any of the candidate races – including, until just recently, the presidential election.  One measure should pass rather easily, as the voter-ID requirement has maintained its… Continuă lectura Why I voted Yes on the marriage amendment in MN

posted at 5:27 pm on November 5, 2012 by Allahpundit The skeptical view of leaking these is that it smacks of what desperate campaigns do when they know they’re losing. Remember Tom Barrett? He wanted the world to believe, contra nearly all of the independent polling, that he and Scott Walker were dead even two… Continuă lectura Internal polls: Romney up one in OH, two in IA, three in NH, tied in PA and WI

posted at 7:28 pm on November 5, 2012 by Allahpundit What follows will be old hat to most readers, who’ve been wargaming paths to 270 for six months now, but I’m thinking it might be useful to casual readers who are stopping by tonight and tomorrow because their interest in the election is peaking. Simple… Continuă lectura Seven states: Electoral math made easy

posted at 11:01 am on November 4, 2012 by Ed Morrissey Two media polls out in normally safe Democratic states show the presidential race in considerable flux – and pundits with few touchstones for their final calls.  First we go to Pennsylvania, where Mitt Romney has made a last-minute personal push for a state that… Continuă lectura Fără titlu

posted at 5:21 pm on October 26, 2012 by Mary Katharine Ham Another Florida newspaper went from an Obama endorsement in ’08 to a Romney endorsement in ’12. I’m skeptical as to how much such endorsements matter, but certainly the ones that are switches from 2008 in swing states are most interesting. Just seeing such… Continuă lectura Romney flips voters, editorial boards with economic message

posted at 4:43 pm on October 25, 2012 by Allahpundit Romney could, in theory, replace Virginia’s 13 electoral votes by winning Wisconsin (10) and New Hampshire (4), but Wisconsin and New Hampshire are supposed to be Plan B in case he loses Ohio. If he loses Virginia, then there is no Plan B: Realistically, his… Continuă lectura Virginia: Romney 50, Obama 48; Update: New Fox News poll also shows Romney by two

posted at 1:21 pm on October 25, 2012 by Ed Morrissey In 2008, Barack Obama campaigned like a rock star, especially in places hard hit by the economy, like Ohio – which Obama won by five points in the election, while enjoying a D+8 turnout.  Four years later, the rock-star vibe has utterly faded, and… Continuă lectura Magic gone in Ohio?

posted at 7:47 pm on October 22, 2012 by Allahpundit I know you’ve got poll fatigue but we’re in a news holding pattern ahead of the debate. This one’s topical, though: Even before the first words are spoken in Florida tonight, Romney’s surged into a near tie with O on the two core components of… Continuă lectura ABC/WaPo poll: Romney pulls nearly even with Obama on handling foreign affairs, terrorism; Update: Obama’s giving up on NC, says Begala